Volume 15, Issue 3 (12-2022)
ijhe 2022, 15(3): 523-538 |
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Ebrahimi Fini F, Babaei Semiromi F, Tabesh M R, Jalili Ghazizade M, Heidari A H. Identification of the driving forces influencing household waste generation in Tehran (with an emphasis on waste composition) in the next twenty years using the approach of futures studies. ijhe 2022; 15 (3) :523-538
URL: http://ijhe.tums.ac.ir/article-1-6683-en.html
URL: http://ijhe.tums.ac.ir/article-1-6683-en.html
Fariba Ebrahimi Fini1 
, Farzam Babaei Semiromi * 2, Mohammad Reza Tabesh1 , Mahdi Jalili Ghazizade3 , Amir Hushang Heidari4
, Farzam Babaei Semiromi * 2, Mohammad Reza Tabesh1 , Mahdi Jalili Ghazizade3 , Amir Hushang Heidari4
1- Department of Environmental Management, Faculty of Natural Resources and Environment, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
2- Department of Environmental Management, Faculty of Natural Resources and Environment, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran ,farzam.babaei@gmail.com
3- Environmental Sciences Research Institute, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran
4- Science & Technology Futures Studies Department, National Research Institute for Science Policy (NRISP), Tehran, Iran
2- Department of Environmental Management, Faculty of Natural Resources and Environment, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran ,
3- Environmental Sciences Research Institute, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran
4- Science & Technology Futures Studies Department, National Research Institute for Science Policy (NRISP), Tehran, Iran
Abstract: (1376 Views)
Background and Objective: The critical step of policymaking and planning for the local governments to select appropriate waste management methods, is comprehensive information on solid waste generation. Waste generation rate and composition may vary from year to year because many factors influence it. This research identified the most important factors influencing the future of household waste generation and composition in Tehran, and how these factors affect each other.
Materials and Methods: This research is based on future studies methods which are carried out using a combination of quantitative and qualitative models. Due to the nature of this research, structural analysis, Micmac software and Delphi survey were used.
Results: In this regard, after holding many meetings with 22 of the experts as the statistical population of the research, 14 effective factors were identified. The influential factors were then analyzed in the framework of the Cross-impact matrix in the Micmac software. The results showed that what can be understood from the state of the dispersion page of the variables indicated the system instability, with most of the variables dispersed around the diagonal axis of the screen.
Conclusion: Finally, considering the high scores received by direct and indirect influences, 10 key factors were identified. “Economic Growth”, “Digital Transformation and Technological Advances”, “Amendment of Existing laws, Enactment and Implementation of New and Specialized Laws”, and “Increased Awareness about waste and Attraction of Citizen Participation through Education and Provision of Information” were identified among these 10 factors as the driving forces influencing generation and composition, of household waste in Tehran in the Next Twenty Years.
Materials and Methods: This research is based on future studies methods which are carried out using a combination of quantitative and qualitative models. Due to the nature of this research, structural analysis, Micmac software and Delphi survey were used.
Results: In this regard, after holding many meetings with 22 of the experts as the statistical population of the research, 14 effective factors were identified. The influential factors were then analyzed in the framework of the Cross-impact matrix in the Micmac software. The results showed that what can be understood from the state of the dispersion page of the variables indicated the system instability, with most of the variables dispersed around the diagonal axis of the screen.
Conclusion: Finally, considering the high scores received by direct and indirect influences, 10 key factors were identified. “Economic Growth”, “Digital Transformation and Technological Advances”, “Amendment of Existing laws, Enactment and Implementation of New and Specialized Laws”, and “Increased Awareness about waste and Attraction of Citizen Participation through Education and Provision of Information” were identified among these 10 factors as the driving forces influencing generation and composition, of household waste in Tehran in the Next Twenty Years.
Type of Study: Research |
Subject:
General
Received: 2022/07/7 | Accepted: 2022/10/1 | Published: 2022/12/21
Received: 2022/07/7 | Accepted: 2022/10/1 | Published: 2022/12/21
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