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Showing 4 results for Prediction
Sajad Mazaheri , Maryam Ashoori, Zeynab Bechari,
Volume 11, Issue 3 (9-2017)
Volume 11, Issue 3 (9-2017)
Abstract
Background and Aim: Nowadays heart disease is very common and is a major cause of mortality. Proper and early diagnosis of this disease is very important. Diagnostic methods and treatments of the disease are so expensive and have many side effects. Therefore, researchers are looking for cheaper ways to diagnose it with high precision. This study aimed to identify a model for the treatment of heart disease.
Materials and Methods: In this descriptive cross-sectional study, the sampling method was census. The sample consisted of data from Khatam and Ali Ibn Abi Talib Hospitals in Zahedan. The data were developed as an Excel file, and Clementine12.0 software was used for data analysis. In the present study, C5.0, C & R Tree, CHAID, and QUEST algorithms and artificial neural network were carried out on the collected data.
Results: The accuracy of 76.04 by C & R algorithm indicates the better performance of Decision Tree Algorithms than that of the Neural Network.
Conclusion: This study aimed to provide a model for the prediction of a suitable heart disease treatment to reduce treatment costs and provide better quality of services for physicians. Due to considerable implementation risks of invasive diagnostic procedures such as angiography and also obtaining successful experiences of data analysis in medicine, this study has presented a model based on data analysis techniques. The improvable point of this model is the provision of a decision support system to help physicians to increase the accuracy of diagnosis in the treatment of diseases.
Materials and Methods: In this descriptive cross-sectional study, the sampling method was census. The sample consisted of data from Khatam and Ali Ibn Abi Talib Hospitals in Zahedan. The data were developed as an Excel file, and Clementine12.0 software was used for data analysis. In the present study, C5.0, C & R Tree, CHAID, and QUEST algorithms and artificial neural network were carried out on the collected data.
Results: The accuracy of 76.04 by C & R algorithm indicates the better performance of Decision Tree Algorithms than that of the Neural Network.
Conclusion: This study aimed to provide a model for the prediction of a suitable heart disease treatment to reduce treatment costs and provide better quality of services for physicians. Due to considerable implementation risks of invasive diagnostic procedures such as angiography and also obtaining successful experiences of data analysis in medicine, this study has presented a model based on data analysis techniques. The improvable point of this model is the provision of a decision support system to help physicians to increase the accuracy of diagnosis in the treatment of diseases.
Niloofar Mohammadzadeh, Ziba Mosayebi, Hamid Beigy, Mohammad Shojaeinia,
Volume 14, Issue 6 (1-2021)
Volume 14, Issue 6 (1-2021)
Abstract
Background and Aim: Sepsis is the most important disease in the first 28 days of life and one of the main causes of infant mortality in the intensive care unit. Its definitive diagnosis is possible by performing blood culture. Neonatal sepsis can be a clinical sign of nosocomial infections that are often resistant to antibiotics. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to create and evaluate a hospital sepsis prediction model and present its results to health care providers.
Materials and Methods: In this descriptive-applied study, the research population includes neonates admitted to the intensive care unit of Valiasr Hospital in Tehran and the research sample is the data of 4196 neonates admitted to this ward from 2016 to August, 2020. The initial features for creating a predictive model of sepsis were prepared by examining the relevant information sources and under the supervision of professors and officials of Valiasr Hospital's mother and fetus research center and its validity was confirmed by 5 neonatal professors of this hospital. In this research, machine learning algorithms have been used to create a sepsis prediction model.
Results: Accuracy and AUROC(area under the ROC curve) parameters were used to evaluate the generated models. The highest values of Accuracy and AUROC are related to Adaptive Boosting and random forest algorithms, respectively.
Conclusion: Learning curves show that using different training examples and more complex selection of combination features improves the performance of the models. Further research is needed to evaluate the clinical effectiveness of machine learning models in a trial.
Materials and Methods: In this descriptive-applied study, the research population includes neonates admitted to the intensive care unit of Valiasr Hospital in Tehran and the research sample is the data of 4196 neonates admitted to this ward from 2016 to August, 2020. The initial features for creating a predictive model of sepsis were prepared by examining the relevant information sources and under the supervision of professors and officials of Valiasr Hospital's mother and fetus research center and its validity was confirmed by 5 neonatal professors of this hospital. In this research, machine learning algorithms have been used to create a sepsis prediction model.
Results: Accuracy and AUROC(area under the ROC curve) parameters were used to evaluate the generated models. The highest values of Accuracy and AUROC are related to Adaptive Boosting and random forest algorithms, respectively.
Conclusion: Learning curves show that using different training examples and more complex selection of combination features improves the performance of the models. Further research is needed to evaluate the clinical effectiveness of machine learning models in a trial.
Miss Fariba Moalem Borazjani, Azita Yazdani, Reza Safdari, Seyed Mansoor Gatmiri,
Volume 17, Issue 6 (2-2024)
Volume 17, Issue 6 (2-2024)
Abstract
Background and Aim: Kidney failure is a common and increasing problem in Iran and worldwide. Kidney transplantation is recognized as a preferred treatment method for patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Machine learning, as one of the most valuable branches of artificial intelligence in the field of predicting patient outcomes or predicting various conditions in patients, has significant applications. The purpose of this research was to predict kidney transplant outcomes in patients using machine learning.
Materials and Methods: Since CRISP is one of the strongest methodologies for implementing data mining projects, it was chosen as the working method. In order to identify the factors affecting the prediction of kidney transplant outcomes, a researcher-created checklist was sent to some of nephrologists nationwide to determine the importance of each factor. The results were analyzed and examined. Then, using Python language and different algorithms such as random forest, SVM, KNN, deep learning, and XGBoost the data was modeled.
Results: The final model was multilabel, capable of predicting various kidney transplant outcomes, including rejection probability, diabetic reactions, malignant reactions, and patient rehospitalization. After modeling the input data features, the model was able to predict the four kidney transplant outcomes such as rejection, diabetes, malignancy and readmission with an error rate of less than 0.01.
Conclusion: The high level of accuracy and precision of the random forest model demonstrates its strong predictive power for forecasting kidney transplant outcomes. In this study, the most influential factors contributing to patient susceptibility to the mentioned outcomes were identified. Using this machine learning-based system, it is possible to predict the probability of these outcomes occurring for new cases.
Atefeh Abbasi, Somayeh Nasiri, Sayyed Mostafa Mostafavi, Abbas Habibolahi,
Volume 19, Issue 4 (11-2025)
Volume 19, Issue 4 (11-2025)
Abstract
Background and Aim: Neonatal hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) is a clinical syndrome characterized by impaired brain function resulting from oxygen deprivation and reduced cerebral blood flow. Developing predictive models can serve as valuable tools for physicians in forecasting disease outcomes and facilitating early interventions. The present study was conducted with the aim of constructing a predictive model for neonatal hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy using data mining algorithms.
Materials and Methods: This applied study was conducted using a descriptive approach. In the first stage, the factors influencing the prediction of neonatal hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy were identified through expert surveys. In the second stage, data pertaining to 4,000 neonates were collected from the Iman system, available in the database of the Ministry of Health and Medical Education, during the years 2020–2021. Following preprocessing, a dataset comprising 3,962 records with 13 features was extracted. Subsequently, predictive models were developed using algorithms including artificial neural networks, decision tree variants, random forest, support vector machines, logistic regression, and Bayesian networks. Model construction was performed using the Python programming language within the Anaconda environment. Finally, performance evaluation and comparison were carried out using metrics such as accuracy, precision, specificity, F1-score, and the Area Under the Curve (AUC).
Results: The findings of the study revealed that the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUROC) for models developed using logistic regression, artificial neural networks, random forest, Bayesian networks, support vector machines, and decision trees were 86%, 86%, 84%, 82%, 76%, and 74%, respectively. The highest performance was achieved by the logistic regression algorithm, with an accuracy of 81%, sensitivity of 85%, and specificity of 96%. The greatest sensitivity was observed in logistic regression, artificial neural networks, and support vector machines, whereas the naïve Bayesian algorithm demonstrated the lowest performance metrics. In the predictive model for hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy, the most influential feature was the first-minute Apgar score, while the least influential factor was delivery outside the hospital.
Conclusion: The findings of the present study indicated that the predictive model for neonatal hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy based on the logistic regression algorithm demonstrated superior performance. It is anticipated that the application of practical data-driven algorithms for neonates with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy will play a crucial role in the rapid identification of the condition and the provision of appropriate treatment. Such approaches can enable healthcare professionals to act within the critical window of opportunity, thereby improving the quality of care, preventing disease progression, and reducing the severity of adverse outcomes.
Materials and Methods: This applied study was conducted using a descriptive approach. In the first stage, the factors influencing the prediction of neonatal hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy were identified through expert surveys. In the second stage, data pertaining to 4,000 neonates were collected from the Iman system, available in the database of the Ministry of Health and Medical Education, during the years 2020–2021. Following preprocessing, a dataset comprising 3,962 records with 13 features was extracted. Subsequently, predictive models were developed using algorithms including artificial neural networks, decision tree variants, random forest, support vector machines, logistic regression, and Bayesian networks. Model construction was performed using the Python programming language within the Anaconda environment. Finally, performance evaluation and comparison were carried out using metrics such as accuracy, precision, specificity, F1-score, and the Area Under the Curve (AUC).
Results: The findings of the study revealed that the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUROC) for models developed using logistic regression, artificial neural networks, random forest, Bayesian networks, support vector machines, and decision trees were 86%, 86%, 84%, 82%, 76%, and 74%, respectively. The highest performance was achieved by the logistic regression algorithm, with an accuracy of 81%, sensitivity of 85%, and specificity of 96%. The greatest sensitivity was observed in logistic regression, artificial neural networks, and support vector machines, whereas the naïve Bayesian algorithm demonstrated the lowest performance metrics. In the predictive model for hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy, the most influential feature was the first-minute Apgar score, while the least influential factor was delivery outside the hospital.
Conclusion: The findings of the present study indicated that the predictive model for neonatal hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy based on the logistic regression algorithm demonstrated superior performance. It is anticipated that the application of practical data-driven algorithms for neonates with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy will play a crucial role in the rapid identification of the condition and the provision of appropriate treatment. Such approaches can enable healthcare professionals to act within the critical window of opportunity, thereby improving the quality of care, preventing disease progression, and reducing the severity of adverse outcomes.
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