Tehran University Medical Journal

Background: Early prediction of the outcome situation of COVID-19 patients can decrease mortality risk by assuring efficient resource allocation and treatment planning. This study introduces a very accurate and fast system for the prediction of COVID-19 outcomes using demographic, vital signs, and laboratory blood test data.
Methods: In this analytic study, which is done from May 2020 to June 2021 in Tehran, 41 features of 244 COVID-19 patients were recorded on the first day of admission to the Masih Daneshvari Hospital. These features were categorized into eight different groups, demographic and patient history features, vital signs, and six different groups of laboratory blood tests including complete blood count (CBC), coagulation, kidney, liver, blood gas, and general. In this study, first, the significance of each of the extracted features and then the eight groups of features for prediction of mortality outcomes were considered, separately. Finally, the best combination of different groups of features was assessed. The statistical methods including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) based on binary Logistic Regression classification algorithm were used for evaluation.